do the math 350,000,000 people in the united states 50,000 deaths is 0.00014% so now look at what 5% death rate would be thats 17.5 million dead thats huge
The 50,000 deaths are not divided by the entire population of the U.S. to get an appropriate death rate. To derive the death rate it must be divided by the cohort infected, which I do not know. I’m sure it could be looked up year to year on a government site somewhere. I will give that task to my research assistant, when he gets his new computer up & running.
Btw, I think the figure of those dying from the flu in the U.S. was expressed as varying between 10,000 to 60,000 in a given year, as I recall. I just chose 50,000 for sake of the discussion.
I agree its serious and hope its controlled quickly. BUT, there is a person on another site who was keeping us updated on his China trip. He and his wife were in the neighboring province when it broke out and their trips around China got fouled up. Streets there were abandoned and you were screened everywhere. They flew home to Chicago last night. No airline problems, and zero screening upon landing in Chicago.
My impression based on what I have seen was that the entire place was locked down and quarantined. I have been misled.:shrug:
Just checked some numbers. In Wuhan the epicenter the mortality rate per infected is 5% worldwide it is between 2-3 %. This is still early in the epidemic. SARS was 10% MURS was 25%. corona viruses are nasty
I got my order of n95 respirators in yesterday. I wanted to get ahead of the rush. Got plenty to cover the family. Paranoid maybe ready absolutely
China has responded with an accelerated program of new hospital construction...For those without calculators, that's ten days from "we oughta build something on this acreage" to "where'd all these sick people come from?"...:miss:...BenQuote:
The 25,000-square-metre (30,000 sq yd) Huoshenshan Hospital, one of two new hospitals being built, is scheduled to open on Monday.
On 24 January, diggers were speedily clearing the ground where the hospital will sit.
Death toll in China now 490 with 24,324 confirmed cases...:sick:...BenQuote:
There were 65 additional deaths and all of them came from Hubei province, the epicenter of the outbreak.
Anyone know where all that Chinese bubble wrap is made?:wary:
You buying into that? I hope its wrong but this feels a little like a Russian dossier. :shrug:
Here's a cool site or at least I thought it was. Something from Johns Hopkins. This chit is costing me a fortune.
https://www.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashb...23467b48e9ecf6